The leaderboard.
Standings populate the Sunday after the first Saturday’s picks resolve. Below is the shape of the board — rank, name, tier, points, with a provisional flag for anyone holding pending picks.
Sign in on the Lotworth home page to start ranking.
Methodology.
Calibration tier reflects each player’s trailing 3-month mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), recency-weighted. ≥20 resolved required to leave Unrated.
- Platinum<2.5% · 1.5×
- Gold2.5–5% · 1.0×
- Silver5–7.5% · 0.75×
- Bronze7.5–10% · 0.5×
- Unrated<20 resolved · 0.3×
Per-LGA “domain expert” status — ≥20 resolved at <6% MAPE in a single LGA — adds an extra 1.5× to that LGA’s suburb-level signal. Overall tier doesn’t have to be Platinum. Sydney is not one market: Inner West expertise doesn’t transfer to Northern Beaches.
Provisional rank shows next to anyone holding pending picks. Their final rank settles only when those picks resolve — passed-in within 30 days, withheld within 90.
See your calibration profile.
Per-LGA accuracy, confidence-band breakdown, and where your tier sits across resolved picks.
Open My calibrationNew auctions every Saturday.
Slate’s open all week. Picks lock 6:00 am Saturday Sydney. The fastest way to climb is to keep showing up.
Open this week’s picks