The leaderboard.
1 player on the board this week · 1 running provisional. Pending picks settle through the week — pass-ins fill, withheld prices disclose, voided picks credit forward. Thursday’s ranking is the one that sticks.
Sign in on the Lotworth home page to start ranking.
Methodology.
Calibration tier reflects each player’s trailing 3-month mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), recency-weighted. ≥20 resolved required to leave Unrated.
- Platinum<2.5% · 1.5×
- Gold2.5–5% · 1.0×
- Silver5–7.5% · 0.75×
- Bronze7.5–10% · 0.5×
- Unrated<20 resolved · 0.3×
Per-LGA “domain expert” status — ≥20 resolved at <6% MAPE in a single LGA — adds an extra 1.5× to that LGA’s suburb-level signal. Overall tier doesn’t have to be Platinum. Sydney is not one market: Inner West expertise doesn’t transfer to Northern Beaches.
Provisional rank shows next to anyone holding pending picks. Their final rank settles only when those picks resolve — passed-in within 30 days, withheld within 90.
See your calibration profile.
Per-LGA accuracy, confidence-band breakdown, and where your tier sits across resolved picks.
Open My calibrationNew auctions every Saturday.
Slate’s open all week. Picks lock 6:00 am Saturday Sydney. The fastest way to climb is to keep showing up.
Open this week’s picks